China Trade

According to the daily The legality, the next 15 years will be a crucial period where you will widen the contradictions on the population structure in China. That is why it should, during this period, supplement and perfect the basic policy of the Chinese birth control instead of making major changes, while giving it the freedom to local governments to adopt some adjustments to resolve these contradictions.

With the implementation of the policy of family planning since the late ’70s and early ’80s, China was able to effectively control the number of its people: their births fell some 300 million and birth rate is reduced to 12.41 ‰ in 2003. However as time passes, she is currently facing other problems such as the demographic imbalance of the sex ratio of newborns and the aging population.

The gender imbalance of newborns began to be felt in China from the mid 80s. Of 108.47 in 1981, the sex ratio of her new-born rose to 116.92 in 2000. In other words, along with 100 new-born female, were about 117 new-born male gap far exceeding the normal limit of 103 to 107 in this report.

This disproportion of population structure in China is also reflected in an acceleration of aging. According to one estimate, the proportion of people aged over 65 compared to the national population will increase from 7% (88 million) currently to 11.8% in 2020, then 1 / 4 towards the middle of the 21st century.

This reality has led to the adoption of certain policy adjustments procreative by local governments. According to official sources, it was learned that Shanghai authorities had recently canceled the provision that childless couples have the right to receive a bonus whose amount was twice that assigned to couples with one child, and that the conditions to have a second birth were also relaxed to some extent.

In this regard, Mr. Yu Xuejun, director of policy and regulations of the National Commission for Family Planning, said that new measures reproductive adopted by the municipality of Shanghai was that an adjustment made in the context of national policy on birth control, and they were always in the principle of the fundamental policy of the country what family planning.

According to Yu Xuejun, the anticipated negative effects or not the policy of birth control are bound to occur during the next 15 years (before 2020) which will be a crucial period for China’s population development. That is why China will not, during that period, to change radically its family planning policy, but only to complete or perfect. With the current growth rate, China’s population will reach its peak of 1.6 billion inhabitants in 2055, but even this peak might be conducted ten years earlier if it imposes more constraint to the second birth. However, if we maintain the current policy of procreation, the Chinese population will remain within 1.5 billion by 2035.

中共当局批准某些通过生育政策的调整

根据日常的合法性，未来15年将是一个关键时期，您将扩大在中国的人口结构的矛盾。这就是为什么要在此期间，补充和完善，中国计划生育的基本政策，而不是作出重大的变化，而把它的自由，当地政府采取一些调整，以解决这些矛盾。
随着计划生育政策，因为在七十年代后期和八十年代初期实施
，中国网，有效地控制其人数：他们的出生减少约300万美元，人口出生率降低到12.41‰，2003年。然而随着时间的推移，她目前正面临着如新生儿的性别比例失衡和人口老龄化人口的其他问题。

的新生儿性别失衡开始感到在中国从80年代中期。在1981年的108.47，为她的女儿出生性别比例上升至116.92于2000年。在，随着100名新出生的女性，也就是说约有117个新出生的男性的差距，远远超过在本报告中的103至107的正常限制。

这在中国的人口结构比例失调，也是以加速老化的反映。据估计，超过65岁相比，全国人口将增加7％（88万美元），目前为11.8％到2020年，当时1岁的人口比例/ 4迈向二十一世纪中叶。

这一现实，导致了一些政策调整，通过了地方政府生育。据官方消息，据了解，上海当局最近取消了规定，即无子女的夫妇有权获得的金额的两倍，分配给一个孩子的夫妇奖金，而条件有第二次生命，也有所缓和。

在这方面，于学军先生，政策和法规的全国委员会计划生育主任，他说，新措施的生殖由上海是直辖市通过在关于国家计划生育政策的范围内作出了调整，他们总是在国家的基本政策是什么计划生育的原则。

据于学军，预期的负面影响或不控制生育的政策，一定会发生在今后15年（2020年前），这将是中国人口发展的关键时期。这就是为什么中国将不会在此期间，彻底改变计划生育政策，但只完成或完善。根据目前的增长速度，中国人口将达到2055年的1.6亿人口的高峰，但即使这样的高峰可能是10年前进行的，如果规定的制约因素第二次诞生。然而，如果我们保持现行生育政策，中国人口将保持在15亿2035。