Eleventh Five-Year Environmental Protection Battle: energy consumption and pollution indicators may fall across the board
A bit like dominoes, “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” of several indicators related to sustainable development, has been a stream of “difficult to complete” message.
Following the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” of energy consumption reduction target was “unlikely to achieve” the news came out recently, the state environmental protection departments have also heard saying: “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” environmental indicators “could not be achieved” .
“According to the report estimates that if the GDP as they are now growing by 10% from top to bottom, then the task of reducing emissions of sulfur dioxide is possible to achieve them.” State Environmental Protection Administration Environmental Planning Chief Engineer Wang Jinnan September 14 pairs of Wang Jinnan has just completed a entitled “The sulfur dioxide emission reduction, and environmental regulatory reform,” the report, and on September 12 on behalf of the State Environmental Protection Administration of Environmental Planning of the above conclusions and the report to the NPC Environmental Resources Committee made a report.
According to the State Environmental Protection Bulletin, the first half of this year, the National Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD) emissions increased by 3.7%; sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions increased by 4.2%, this and the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” required by fell by 1% every six months, was poles apart from trend.
environmental protection departments, experts said, according to such a development momentum, SO2, COD can not complete the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” indicators of the possibility of very large.
reporter has learned that Wang Jinnan report has raised questions about the above-mentioned high-level attention. The new environmental strategic research has already started.
“could fall across the board”
sulfur dioxide emissions and chemical oxygen demand indicators, which reflect the atmosphere, water quality, is a national environmental planning an important component. Accordance with the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan”, in 2010, national SO2, COD than the “15″ end of the period were decreased by 10%. This means that these two indicators must be in the “Eleventh Five-Year” five years, annual rate of 2%, down 1% every six months.
do this on the premise that the “Eleventh Five-Year” period, GDP average annual growth rate of 7.5% and down to control.
to the actual implementation to date is that the first half of this year, GDP rose by 10.9%, 11.3% in the second quarter, marking a decade since a new high. Moreover, this high growth was mainly by high energy consumption, high-polluting industrial sectors of investment-led.
the inside of the “pioneer” is a thermal power plant. 1-7 months, the National thermal power generating capacity increased by 12.5%, making rapid growth in SO2 emissions.
“Even if the thermal power plant on the desulfurization project, the role is limited.” an environmental experts believe that desulfurization is only off 85% -90%, SO2 total is still growing. Moreover, on a new desulfurization project needs more than 10 months time, the total amount of short-term SO2 is difficult to go down.
State Environmental Protection Administration released a report also believes that the recent commissioning of thermal power installed capacity of most of supporting the building of the desulfurization facilities put into operation, but the rate is not high.
and COD increase was due primarily to speed up the urbanization process, water emissions, part of urban centralized sewage treatment plant and associated pipeline network failed plan to build or put into operation.
in high-polluting industrial boom, the backwater, this year in the first half, the National Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD) emissions totaled 6.896 million tons, up 3.7%; sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions from the total 12.746 million tons, an increase of 4.2%.
SEPA Experts say that if no special measures, in the GDP growth of more than 10% of the cases, the energy consumption and pollutant emissions indicators will fall across the board.
“15″ period supported by the fact this assertion. “15″ period of three years, China’s economy has entered a new round of high-growth cycle, GDP growth year after year for more than 10%, resulting in the end of 2005, national SO2 emissions increased in 2000 compared with 27%; COD emissions by 2000 compared with only a decrease of 2%, did not complete the 10% reduction in the control objectives. To this end, this year’s “two sessions”, Premier Wen Jiabao told Chinese and foreign journalists admitted, “Tenth Five-Year Plan” most of the indicators have been completed, but the environmental indicators is not complete.
“15″ fall line of defense, to the “Eleventh Five-Year” Could it have to fall again, not a?
National People’s Congress to entrust the study measures
It is learned that Wang Jinnan to the NPC Environmental and Resources Protection Committee made the report, the Environmental and Resources Protection Committee of members of the hair, such as Bo Zhuren members, Ye Rutang, Qian Yi and other vice-chairman, as well as other members in Beijing are present. Heard of “Eleventh Five-Year” in the various environmental indicators may not be met, members worried, generally felt the situation was serious and called Environmental Protection Agency estimates as soon as possible concrete figures, and further approved the contribution of the four major initiatives desulfurization ratio in order to determine effective measures to reverse the unfavorable situation.
same time, the NPC Environmental and Resources Protection Committee also suggested that if the worst as able to fulfill the intention, then the discharge of pollutants in the end will increase the amount of concrete also hope that the number of SEPA in order to make preparations to remedy the situation.
Therefore, the state environmental protection departments deal with problems that may occur in a new strategic research has started.
Wang Jinnan done according to the study, the next step pollution abatement emissions could focus on engineering, mechanisms, structure, supervision in four major areas. On this issue, most likely is the “engineering desulfurization.” “If all the new projects, as well as in the past all of the projects launched desulfurization equipment, it is possible to achieve a significant improvement in the situation desulfurization.”
In addition, the mechanism, through a variety of policy instruments, such as desulfurization of power plants after give priority to bidding, as well as policies such as subsidies to achieve desulfurization plant, but also has great maneuverability. According to report, after desulfurization 0.15 yuan per kilowatt-hour subsidy for power has left the State Environmental Protection Administration. The new policy comes a great possibility.
However, the extent to which the above-mentioned program in the end be able to reduce SO2 emissions, as well as the future GDP growth is accelerating, pollution emissions that ultimately will be how much this figure also need to be studied.
In addition, SO2, COD, once able to fulfill the target of what measures will be taken under the relevant research in this area are being conducted.
“Ministry of Environmental Protection” blueprint
the brewing of a larger movement in the environmental management system. A by changing the status of the State Environmental Protection Administration to achieve the reform of environmental monitoring of the demonstration, has been quietly conducted.
current State Environmental Protection Administration is directly under the State Council units, rather than the composition of the State Council departments, although the administrative level is the ministerial level units, but in the formulation of policy, rights, and participation in high-level decision-making context, as the State Department composed of sectoral ministries have very different.
“SEPA is not a ‘cabinet’ sector, a number of meetings held at the State Department, it merely observe the roles and did not speak, unable to express their views on other departments.” macro-control study of a person who introduced the said, “So, although SEPA is also involved in macro-control departments, but the actual role played by many constraints.”
and environmental indicators are hard constraints, need to decrease emissions of pollutants, but also more difficult than reducing energy consumption targets much. The solution of environmental problems involving multiple ministries, as well as industry associations. Such as environmental transformation involves Science and Technology, control investment projects involved the land and the Department of the CBRC, safety standards involves SAWS, emissions related to Ministry of Water Resources, Bureau of Oceanography, the Forest Service and other departments.
To this end, to the Environmental Protection Agency “upgraded” some influential voices began to environmental experts from the middle rung, and reach decision-making.
Chinese People’s University Professor Gu Haibing that, taking into account the important position of environmental protection should be the establishment of the State Council Environmental Protection Commission, the Environmental Protection Administration changed to Ministry of Environmental Protection, the State Forestry Administration, Bureau of Oceanography and other institutions are classified as environmental protection under the Ministry. Prof Gu even suggested that, should be to serve as a Vice-Premier, Minister of Environmental Protection.
According to this vision of the future Ministry of Environmental Protection Environmental Protection Administration, as compared with the present, only the “Council” changed to “department”, one word, level did not change, but as the composition of the State Council departments, within the decision-making system has room for a big difference.
who hold this view are cited as examples of Jiangsu Province - the environmental protection departments across the country as the only provincial government departments in Jiangsu province. Other provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions are the Environmental Protection Agency environmental protection departments, with the exception Jiangsu is a “green hall.” Environmental Protection Office of the province launched a number of major projects have a say.
According to statistics, total economic output in 2005 in Jiangsu Province ranked third, its SO2, COD emissions were ranked sixth and third respectively.
some experts suggested that in the future deal with the provincial environmental protection department under the local environmental protection departments to implement vertical management. “Now the system below the provincial environmental protection where the cadre appointment is mainly the management of SEPA is very limited.”
But on this point there are different views, one person declined to be named, said the State Environmental Protection Administration have been established throughout the vertical management, supervision departments, and the Ministry of Land Resources to implement a similar vertical management of the land inspector, and then the local environmental protection departments do not need to implement the vertical management.
十一五环境保护战役:能源消耗和污染指标可能全线下跌
有点像多米诺骨牌,“十一五计划有关可持续发展的几个指标”,一直是“困难的流来完成”的消息。
继“十一五”规划的能源消耗减少的目标是“不可能实现”的消息传出,最近,国家环保部门还听到他说:“十一五”计划环境指标“不能可以实现。“
“据报告估计,如果GDP像现在增长10%上下,那么,减少二氧化硫排放量的任务是可以实现这些目标。”国家环境保护总局环境规划总工程师王金南9月14日的王金南对刚刚完成了一个题为“二氧化硫减排和环境监管改革”的报告,并在9月12日,国家环境保护总局的名义环境规划的上述结论和向全国人大环境资源委员会的报告作了报告。
据国家环保公报,今年,全国化学需氧量(COD)的排放量上升3.7%上半年,二氧化硫(SO2)排放量上升4.2%,这和“十一五计划“所要求的下跌1%,每6个月,是南辕北辙的趋势。
环保部门,专家表示,按照这样的发展势头,二氧化硫,化学需氧量无法完成“十一五”规划的指标的可能性非常大。
据记者了解,王金南报告提出了有关问题,上述高层的高度重视。新的环保战略研究已经开始。
“可能属于一刀切”
二氧化硫排放量和化学需氧量指标,这反映了大气,水质,是国家环境规划的重要组成部分。按照“十一五”规划,到2010年,全国二氧化硫,比“十五”期末化学需氧量分别下降10%。这意味着这两个指标必须在“十一五”五年,折合成年率为2%,低于1%,每6个月。
做的前提是,“十一五”期间,国内生产总值平均为7.5%和下降年增长率控制。
实际执行的日期是,今年上半年,国内生产总值增长10.9%,11.3%,第二季度,创下自10年新高。此外,这一高增长主要是由高能耗,高污染工业部门的投资带动。
的“先锋内部”是一个火电厂。 1-7月,全国火电发电量增加了12.5%,使二氧化硫的排放量在快速增长。
“即使在脱硫项目火电厂,其作用是有限的。”环境专家认为,只有把脱硫85%-90%,二氧化硫总额仍在增长。此外,在一个新的脱硫项目需要10个多月时间,短期二氧化硫总量难以下降。
国家环保总局发布的一份报告也认为,最近的火电安装调试的支持投入运行的脱硫设施建设,最能力,但率不高。
和COD增加的主要原因是加快城市化进程,水的排放,城市污水集中处理厂的一部分,没有相关的管网规划建设或投入运行。
高污染工业的繁荣,落后,这在今年上半年,全国化学需氧量(COD)排放总量六百八十九点六〇 〇万吨,同比增长3.7%,二氧化硫(SO2)由总一千二百七十四点六零零万吨排放量, 4.2%的增幅。
国家环保总局专家说,如果没有特别的措施,在超过10%的案件GDP增长,能源消耗和污染物排放指标将下降的窘况。
“十五”期间的事实支持这一说法。 “十五”三年,中国经济进入了一年一度的高增长周期,国内生产总值增长的一年新一轮超过10%,在2005年年底,导致全国二氧化硫排放量增加,2000年为27%;到2000年COD排放量相比,只下降2%,未完成的控制目标降低了10%。为此,今年的“两会”,温家宝总理向中外记者承认,“十五”计划各项指标大多已完成,但环境指标没有完成。
“十五”秋天的防御线,到“十一五”难道要再次下降,而不是?
全国人大委托研究措施
据了解,王金南向全国人大环境与资源保护委员会提出的报告,环境和诸如博藏主人的成员,叶如汤资源保护委员会的头发,成员,钱易等副会长,以及在北京的其他成员出席。听说过“十一五在各种环境指标”,可能无法实现,委员担心,普遍认为事态严重,并呼吁环保署估计,尽快具体数字,并批准了四大措施贡献脱硫率,以确定有效措施,扭转了被动的局面。
与此同时,全国人大环境与资源保护委员会还建议,如果最糟糕的是能够实现的意图,那么最终的污染物排放量将增加的具体数额还希望,国家环保总局的数量,以便使准备纠正这种情况。
因此,国家环保部门的问题,可能出现一个新的战略研究协议已经开始。
王金南所做根据研究,下一步消减污染排放量将集中于工程,机制,结构,监管四大领域。在这个问题上,最有可能是“工程脱硫”。 “如果所有的新项目,以及在过去的所有项目的启动脱硫装置,它有可能实现脱硫的情况显着改善。”
此外,机制,通过政策手段,如各种电厂脱硫后优先竞标,以及政策,如补贴,实现脱硫装置,而且还具有很大的机动性。据报道,经脱硫0.15元每千瓦小时电力的补贴已经离开了国家环境保护总局。该政策出台的可能性很大。
然而,在多大程度上上述程序,最终可减少二氧化硫的排放量,以及未来的国内生产总值增长加快,污染排放量,最终将有多少,这个数字还需要研究。
此外,二氧化硫,化学需氧量,一旦能够满足哪些措施将根据在这一领域的目标所采取的相关研究正在进行中。
“环境保护部”蓝图
一个在环境管理体系酝酿更大的动作。通过改变国家环境保护总局的地位,以实现对环境监测的示范改革,一直在悄悄地进行。
当前国家环境保护总局直属国务院的单位,而不是国务院的组成部门,虽然行政级别是部级单位,但在政策,权利的制定,并在高级别参与决策背景下,作为各部委组成的国务院,有非常不同的。
“国家环保总局不是’内阁’部门,是在国务院举行的会议次数,只是观察的作用,并没有说话,无法对其他部门的意见。”宏观调控的人谁介绍说,“因此,虽然国家环保总局还参与宏观调控部门,但研究的实际作用,许多制约作用。”
和环境指标的硬约束,有必要减少污染物的排放,但也更困难得多降低能耗的目标了。对涉及多个部门的环境问题的解决,以及行业协会。环境转型,涉及科学技术,控制投资项目所涉及的土地和银监会部,安全标准涉及生产监督管理总局,涉及水利部,海洋局部的排放量,林业局等部门。
为此,环境保护局“结束升级”一些有影响力的声音开始从环保专家中间响起,并达成决策。
中国人民大学教授辜嘿病认为,考虑到环保的重要地位,应当是国务院环境保护委员会的成立,环境保护总局更改为环境保护,国家林业局,海洋局部和其他机构是否属于该部环境保护。顾教授甚至建议,应作为副总理,环境保护部部长。
根据这种环境保护环境保护总局今后部视野,比目前只有“理事会”改为“部”,一个字,水平没有改变,但作为国务院的组成部门内的决策系统提供了一个有很大的不同房间。
谁持这种观点是作为江苏省列举的例子-在全国环保部门作为唯一的江苏省省级政府部门。其他省,市,自治区环境保护局环保部门与江苏省例外,是一个“绿色大厅。”环境保护办公室省开展了多项大型工程有发言权。
据统计,2005年经济总产出在江苏省名列第三,其二氧化硫,化学需氧量排放量排在第六和第三名。
一些专家建议,今后处理省根据当地环保部门的环保部门实行垂直管理。 “现在省以下环保制度,干部选拔任用工作主要由国家环保总局的管理是非常有限的。”
但是,在这一点上有不同的看法,一个人不愿意透露姓名的说,国家环保总局在整个建立垂直管理,监督部门和国土资源部实施类似的土地垂直管理督察,然后地方环保部门并不需要实施垂直管理。06.9.18
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