World power

Yesterday, intraday, New York, oil prices fell to a new low of 63.50 U.S. dollars. So far this year, July 14 hit 78.40 U.S. dollars, “astronomical” in New York oil prices had slid in just two months nearly 15 U.S. dollars. Analysts believe that the international oil price has entered the medium-term adjustment phase, the short term is still likely to decline.

2003 years, the international oil prices from an average of 29 U.S. dollars / barrel all the way rose to 70 U.S. dollars / barrel. This summer, the New York oil price is soaring on July 14 hit a record high of 78.40 U.S. dollars price. London oil prices are uncharacteristically, once beyond the New York oil prices hit a high of 78.65 U.S. dollars.

but entered in September, the international price of oil seems to have lost support in a night, to the day before had been all the way down to 63.76 U.S. dollars in six months, lowest point. Yesterday, electronic trading, the New York oil prices fell to 63.50 U.S. dollars more. Time of this writing, prices have also picked up a small, reported 63.98 U.S. dollars.

this scene for the past two years with rising international crude oil markets is very rare. Dragged down by a sharp drop in international oil prices, with oil close species, such as fuel oil, sugar, cotton and natural rubber, both have recently lost sound one.

“inferred from the above phenomenon, the international oil price has indeed entered a medium-term adjustment, and may continue to decline. but the long term, oil prices will remain at the rally.” Shanghai Morning Post yesterday the medium-term analyst Lin Hui, told reporters .

She believes that after several years of rising oil prices, from 20 dollars up to nearly 80 U.S. dollars, has reached a high point, the callback is a very normal, callback rate depends on the pre-rise situation.

However, Shenyin analyst Wong Mei Long told reporters yesterday on the Morning Post, the current round of international oil prices, bullish is not over. In his view, despite the international oil price in such a short period of time such a large decline is rare, but in 2003 the price of 20 dollars compared to 64 U.S. dollars a barrel, prices are not low, so can not say that international oil prices into the Low-cycle.

He pointed out that since the current round of oil price decline that occurred since the fundamental message is not change much. In his view, the main reason for the current round of international oil prices is that the U.S. economic slowdown, the composition of demand for resources has put pressure on commodities.

“sharp fluctuations in international oil prices in recent years, is not entirely caused by the contradiction between supply and demand.” Shanghai Institute of International Li Wei, director of the Middle East, built In an interview with Post reporters yesterday, said oil Change by multiple factors role in making. Geo-political tensions caused by the market panic, and some consortia using a variety of messages to a large extent influence the hype from the international oil prices.

He pointed out that a long time, Iran has always been considered to affect oil prices a major factor. In fact, the market’s sensitivity to the Iran issue has been greatly decreased, the Iranian issue of small fluctuations in international oil prices has been very difficult to be seriously affected. In his view, the current round of international oil prices fell sharply in international speculators create results.

In this regard, Shanghai University of Engineering, Institute of Energy and Environmental Engineering, Professor Lexus light receiving Morning Post reporter, agrees. In his view, the international oil price rally that several oil group controlled by speculators, the consortium from skyrocketing oil prices gained a great deal of interest. As for the sharp fall in international oil prices have any effect on China’s refined oil pricing impact, Lexus light that will certainly be affected, but the authorities may need to consider the domestic situation.

In addition, experts believe that China and the United States the world’s largest energy consumer of the “reconciliation” is the important reason for decline in international oil prices. If the US’s two largest oil consuming countries can cooperate in oil prices will appear more substantial drop in China’s energy shortages will also be eased significantly.

纽约原油价格跌至63.50美元的新起点中期调整美元低

昨天盘中，纽约油价跌至六十三点五〇美元新低点。今年到目前为止，7月14日达到七十八点四零美元，“天文纽约油价”已跌去在短短两个月内接近15美元。分析人士认为，国际石油价格已进入中期调整阶段，短期内仍可能下降。

二○○三年，从一个29美元平均国际油价/桶一路攀升至70美元/桶。今年夏天，纽约原油价格不断攀升，7月14日创下了78.40美元价格高。伦敦的石油价格一反常态，一度超出纽约原油价格已经达到了很高的78.65美元。

但在进入9月，国际石油价格似乎在一夜间失去了支持，之前已在6个月，一路下降到63.76美元，当天的最低点。昨天，电子交易中，纽约原油价格已下跌至63.50美元更多。写这篇文章的时间，价格也拿起小，报道63.98美元。

这在过去两年不断上升的国际原油市场的年场面是非常罕见的。下跌拖累，国际石油价格大幅下降，与石油密切的物种，如燃料油，白糖，棉花和天然橡胶，，，都在最近失去了声音之一。

“从上述现象推断，国际油价的确进入了一个中期调整，可能会继续下降。但长远来看，石油价格将维持在上涨。”上海南华早报昨天中期分析师林辉告诉记者。

她认为，在油价上涨的几年，从20美元到近80美元，已经达到了高点，回调是非常正常的，回调速度取决于前上升的情况。

不过，申银万国分析师黄美龙告诉南华早报，国际油价本轮记者昨天牛市还没有结束。他认为，尽管在这么短的时间内国际油价的大幅下跌是罕见的，但在2003年20美元的价格比为64美元一桶，价格不低，所以不能说国际石油价格进入低的周期。

他指出，由于石油价格的下跌，由于发生了根本的消息是不会有太大改变目前一轮。在他看来，国际油价本轮的主要原因是，美国经济放缓，对资源需求的结构已对商品的压力。

“在国际油价大幅波动，近年来，不完全所造成的供给和需求之间的矛盾。”上海国际李伟，中东在接受记者采访时建成后，昨天主任，研究所表示，油价的变化受多种因素的决策作用。地理，市场恐慌引起的政治紧张局势，以及一些财团利用各种消息在很大程度上影响国际石油价格炒作。

他指出，长期以来，伊朗一直被认为会影响石油价格的主要因素。事实上，市场的敏感性，伊朗问题已经大大降低，在国际油价的小幅波动伊朗问题已很难受到严重影响。他认为，国际石油价格此轮下跌的国际炒家大幅创造的结果。

在这方面，上海工程技术，能源与环境工程，凌志光教授接受早报记者学院大学同意。他认为，国际油价上涨，一些石油集团的投机者，石油价格飞涨财团控制，获得了极大的兴趣。至于在国际油价大幅下跌，是否会对中国的成品油价格的影响效果，凌志光，将肯定会受到影响，但当局可能需要考虑国内情况。

此外，专家认为，中国和美国是世界上最大的“和解的能源消费国”是在国际油价下跌的重要原因。如果美国的两个最大的石油消费国能够合作，油价将出现较大幅度的中国的能源短缺问题也将下降，大大缓解。06.9.14