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OPEC would again maintain its production ceiling at its meeting Wednesday in Vienna, always sharp tensions around the Iranian nuclear issue and rebellion in Nigeria making it unlikely any fall in oil prices.

Most countries of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), including the most influential - Saudi Arabia and Iran - voted Monday and Tuesday for maintaining production quotas cartel established for eight months to 28 million barrels per day (bpd).

The Committee on Market Surveillance (MMSC) of OPEC advisory body, has also recommended the status quo Tuesday night.

“The market is pretty happy and I do not think we took a big risk” to maintain production, summarized the Algerian Minister of Energy, Chakib Khelil.

The cartel, which produces 40% of global gross, usually decreases its production in the spring to adjust to lower demand following the end of winter in the northern hemisphere and thus prevent falling prices if the market had to be over-supplied.

But in the very tense prevailing, such a move could “send signals to the market that would push prices higher than they are now”, agreed on Monday the Saudi Minister of Petroleum and leader of the cartel, Ali al-Nuaimi.

It would also probably not well received by consumer countries as the price level is already poses a “significant risk” to global growth, as was recalled Monday OECD.

OPEC had decided to stay this fall at its last meeting in late January, the light level courses.

She now plans to meet again in late April on the sidelines of the International Forum of Energy scheduled April 22 to 24 in Doha, as it did in the previous edition two years ago in Amsterdam.

So far, only Venezuela persists in demanding a reduction in production. His energy minister, Rafael Ramirez, called Tuesday for a fall production of “approximately 500,000 barrels per day.

“We believe that the market is well supplied. In fact, it is over-supplied approximately one million “barrels a day,” he said.

But even Iran, another traditional “hawk” of the cartel, this time seems to favor the status quo, while the West fears it might come to use the oil weapon in the standoff which contrasted with the West over its nuclear activities.

The OPEC meeting falls for second consecutive time with that of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

markets, reassured by the news from Vienna, fell Tuesday, the course now operating below 62 dollars in New York.

Kevin Norrish, analyst at Barclays Capital, however, put a caveat in this context downside: even temporarily relegated to the background, the geopolitical uncertainties have not disappeared entirely.

“The potential for deterioration of the situation in Nigeria should establish a floor of 60 dollars,” he thought, for example.

Nigeria is facing a rebellion that has already cut 20% of its production, and Iraq, where the risk of civil war increase, sees its offer stagnate. On the other hand, growth in global demand remains strong, particularly in the United States, which should sustain demand for oil.

08.03.06

欧佩克正在走向其生产的延续到28万桶

欧佩克将再次保持在其会议15日在维也纳生产限额，围绕伊朗核问题，使之不可能任何石油价格下跌，尼日利亚的叛乱一直尖锐的紧张局势。

的石油输出国组织（欧佩克），其中包括最有影响力-沙特阿拉伯和伊朗组织的多数国家-周一，周二投票维持欧佩克的生产配额为8个常设至28万桶个月（桶）。

对市场监督（彩信中心）咨询机构的欧佩克委员会还建议现状周二晚上。

“市场是很高兴，我不认为我们花了很大的风险”，以维持生产，总结了能源，阿尔及利亚部长沙基卜哈利勒。

卡特尔，产生全球GDP的40，通常会降低其在春季农业生产，以适应需求下降后，在冬季北半球，从而防止价格下跌％，如果市场必须供应过剩。

但在当时很紧张，这样做可以“发出信号，市场将推动价格高于他们现在是”星期一沙特的石油部长，并获欧佩克领导人，纳伊米。

它很可能也会因为没有很好的价格水平已经构成了“重大风险”的全球经济增长的消费国的好评，被召回周一经合组织。

欧佩克已决定留在其最后一次会议1月下旬，光的课程今年秋季。

她现在的计划，以应付在4月底再次对国际能源论坛期间，预计4月22日至24日在多哈，因为它没有在以前的版本在阿姆斯特丹两年前。

到目前为止，只有委内瑞拉坚持要求在减产。他的能源部长拉米雷斯周二呼吁的“大约每天50万桶的生产下降。

说：“我们相信市场供应良好。事实上，这是供应过剩约100万的“桶，”他说。

但是，即使伊朗，另一个传统的“鹰的卡特尔”，这一次似乎更愿意维持现状，而西方担心，可能出现的对峙中使用的石油武器这对比西方国家在核活动。

下降，欧佩克会议第二同国际原子能机构（原子能机构）的连续时间。

市场，由来自维也纳的消息放心，周二大幅下跌，现在经营的过程中低于62美元，在纽约。

凯文诺里什，在巴克莱资本分析师，然而，在这方面提出缺点一个警告：即使是暂时只能退居其次，地缘政治的不确定性并没有完全消失。

他说：“在尼日利亚局势恶化的可能性，应建立一个60美元的地板，”他认为，例如，。

尼日利亚正面临着叛乱已削减20％的产量，伊拉克，那里的内战上升的风险，认为其提供停滞不前。另一方面，在全球需求增长依然强劲，特别是在美国，这将维持对石油的需求。

08.03.06

Tags: Economie, barrels, market, opec, production