INDUSTRY

未来数年，全球建筑聚丙烯大量新的产能投入生产，一个迅速增加供应，但同时公司的原材料，这将迫使企业降低经营成本率高，和整个聚丙烯行业的盈利能力也将受到影响。

大量新的生产能力，使过剩的生产供应

美国化学市场协会（简称CMAI）在9月初的专家说，2008年全球将增加大约300万的聚丙烯生产能力，这意味着万吨，2008年世界聚丙烯生产容量在2007年的基础上增长6％。

与2007年相比，预计将在2012年全球将增加2000万吨的生产能力，这将导致2010〜2011年，全球聚丙烯10万吨的生产能力过剩〜11万吨/年，全球聚丙烯工厂的开工率将降至80％最低水平线。在2008年世界聚丙烯装置的开工率为89％〜90％，北美的开工率为85％。

预测今年和明年的全球聚丙烯市场需求将达到同期的平均年增长率为亚洲太平洋地区每年百分之四点五的平均增长率将达到7％〜7.5％，中东地区以年均8％〜9％，南美地区，6.5％〜7％的增长速度年均增长速度，而北美将是需求进一步萎缩，将降至今年的百分之三点一，明年的增长率为只有百分之0.4，欧洲地区，平均为1.5％〜2％的年增长率。

最大的前10名的全球制造商将改变

新兴市场业务的迅速扩展，在全球10聚丙烯生产商和供应商的影响正在改变排名。目前，全球10个主要的聚丙烯生产商对世界的50％以上，总生产能力聚丙烯的能力。到2009年，沙特基础工业公司将超过公司总的石油和英国图书公司成为全球仅次于莱昂德尔巴塞尔和中石化的第三大聚丙烯生产，信实工业公司，印度的排名也从今年的第七跃升至2009年第四，虽然中国石油在2009年也将成为世界第五大聚丙烯，排名，分别为生产商，其后是合计，英力士，埃克森美孚化工，台塑和北欧。

至2012年，中国石油和Reliance工业将取代世界第四大聚丙烯生产商，信托业的排名下滑到第五位。和埃克森美孚在中国和新加坡的化学后的石化联合体项目完成后，公司将是世界上第六大聚丙烯生产商时，在对新加坡的石化联合体项目公司将建成投产2011年，这些项目包括四五〇 〇 〇 〇吨/年聚丙烯装置。

产能过剩行业结构调整在欧美增加

造成生产能力的快速增长的同时，全球聚丙烯行业正在进行重组，特别是美国，这种现象更为普遍，美国住宅和汽车聚丙烯行业不景气导致需求下降。利安德巴塞尔已经采取了一些措施来处理这种困境，该公司将关闭其在今年第四季度下降，是在伊利诺伊州位于美国的聚丙烯一套旧设备，同时设备将推动公司的能力采用更先进的其他设备的技术。另一个主要的全球聚丙烯生产商陶氏化学公司的聚丙烯业务将被转移到了K -陶氏石化公司，这是该公司此前与科威特石油公司的石油化学工业公司（PIC）的合资企业（包括资助的比例50:50公布） ，合资公司将投产今年。陶氏化工在2007年，是位于美国路易斯安那州关闭了227,000吨的聚丙烯装置一套，因为该设备无法更经济丙烯原料，设备的关闭，使陶氏化学聚丙烯能力下降至83万吨/年。

在欧洲聚丙烯行业结构调整已经开始。英力士是一些没有竞争能力的聚丙烯装置关闭，而其他聚丙烯装置进行升级。该公司在法国，使用的泥浆聚丙烯装置的技术为基础的两套将被关闭，其中包括一十六万五千吨/年聚丙烯装置将停止今年年底投产，另外5万吨/年的装置将关闭在2009年底。此外，该公司位于比利时，英力士一套13万吨/年聚丙烯装置已经关闭。除了关闭装置，该公司计划在未来3年内投资1.5亿欧元以提升在欧洲的一些聚烯烃装置。

在中东地区的新项目成为一个全球性的热点

为当前的中东是世界上新的聚丙烯项目的热点。沙特只有数量从目前的4至2012年，沙特的聚丙烯生产能力达600万吨11聚丙烯生产商。沙特国家石化公司（NatPet）计划投入运行的延布在沙特阿拉伯四十零点〇 〇 〇万吨/年聚丙烯装置将在今年后期。由莱昂德尔巴塞尔聚烯烃公司（控股25％）和沙特阿拉伯，撒哈拉石化公司（控股75％）的合资企业基地韦海石化公司，将在2009年第一季度投入使用，是在沙特朱拜勒位于首尔的1四十五万吨/年聚丙烯装置。沙特克耶将测试2009年朱拜尔35万吨/年聚丙烯装置运行。沙特基础工业公司是陶氏化学IbnZahr子公司将利用沙特朱拜尔一个新的50万吨/年聚丙烯装置的专利技术，预计建成投产今年晚些时候，当本地聚丙烯公司生产能力达一百十四点○○○万吨/年。
印刷在全球市场需求

在中国未来的增长势头，印度将继续成为全球聚丙烯消费增长。据统计，2007年中国的聚丙烯的进口增长了百分之四，达到三零零零零零零吨，但在2008年的进口量将减少的基础上去年的百分之四，由于中国国内聚丙烯大量新的生产能力投产相继付诸表决。专家表示，中国的聚丙烯投资热点将继续，如果所有项目都可以提出，到2011年中国的聚丙烯生产能力投入生产将达到一千二百二十〇点〇 〇万吨到2016年，将达到一千五百五十零点零万吨。

另一个是印度的聚丙烯消费人口众多的亚洲国家正在迅速增长，近年来，印度的经济崛起和快速发展，人们的可支配收入的快速增长，这极大地刺激了消费增长。印度是亚洲最大的汽车，家电和各种食品包装市场在世界上除了印度，正努力改善基础设施，所有这一切刺激了聚丙烯消费的强劲增长。

Global polypropylene market is facing a surplus of pressure

The next few years, the global construction polypropylene substantial new capacity will be put into production, the supply of a rapid increase, but at the same company the high cost of raw materials, which will force enterprises to lower the operating rate, and the entire polypropylene industry profitability also will be affected.

substantial new capacity will enable the supply of surplus production

American Chemical Market Association (CMAI) experts in early September that the world in 2008 will add about three million tons of polypropylene production capacity, which means that in 2008 the world’s polypropylene production capacity in 2007 based on growth of 6%.

compared with 2007, is expected in 2012 will increase the global 20 million tons of production capacity, which will lead to 2010 ~ 2011, the global polypropylene production capacity of 10 million tons of excess ~ 11 million tons / year, the global polypropylene plant operating rate will be reduced to 80% of the lowest horizontal line. In 2008 the world’s polypropylene plant operating rate was 89% ~ 90%, North American operating rate was 85%.

forecast this year and next year the global polypropylene market demand will reach an annual average growth rate of 4.5 percent over the same period the average annual growth rate of the Asia-Pacific region will reach 7% ~ 7.5%, the Middle East region at an average annual growth rate of 8 % ~ 9%, South America region, the growth rate of 6.5% ~ 7%, while North America will be a further contraction of demand, will drop 3.1 percent this year, next year’s growth rate was only 0.4 percent, the European region, the average annual growth rate of 1.5 % ~ 2%.

largest global manufacturer of top 10 will change

business in emerging markets by the impact of rapid expansion, the global top 10 polypropylene producers and suppliers are changing the rankings. At present, 10 major global manufacturer of polypropylene polypropylene capacity about the world’s total production capacity of more than 50%. By 2009, Saudi Basic Industries Corp. will exceed oil company Total and the British Book of the company become the world second only to Lyondell Basel and Sinopec’s third largest polypropylene producer, Reliance Industries, India’s ranking is also from this year’s seventh in 2009 jumped to fourth, while China National Petroleum in 2009 will also become the world’s fifth largest producer of polypropylene, ranking, respectively, subsequent are Total, Ineos, ExxonMobil Chemical, Formosa Plastics and Borealis .

to 2012, China Petroleum and Reliance Industries will replace the world’s fourth-largest polypropylene maker, and the trust industry’s ranking slipped to fifth. And ExxonMobil Chemical in China and Singapore after the completion of the petrochemical projects of the Commonwealth, the company will be up for the world’s sixth-largest polypropylene maker, the company in Singapore of the Commonwealth of petrochemical project will be completed and put into production in 2011, the projects include a 450,000 tons / year polypropylene plant.

production overcapacity caused by industry restructuring in Europe and America increased

rapid growth in production capacity at the same time, the global polypropylene industry is undergoing restructuring, especially the United States, this phenomenon is more prevalent, the U.S. residential and automotive polypropylene industry recession led to a drop in demand. Lyondell Basel has taken some measures to deal with this predicament, the company will shut down in the fourth quarter of this year, Illinois is located in the United States a set of polypropylene old device, the device at the same time will move the company’s capacity to adopt more advanced technology of the other devices. Another major global polypropylene producer Dow Chemical’s polypropylene business will be transferred to the K-Dow Petrochemical Company, which is the company’s previously announced with the Kuwait Oil Company’s Petrochemical Industries Company (PIC) of the joint venture company (both funded ratio 50:50), a joint venture company will put into operation this year. Dow Chemical in 2007 is located in Louisiana shut down a set of 227,000 tons of polypropylene device because the device can not be more economical propylene raw material, the closure of the device so that Dow Chemical polypropylene capacity decreased to 830,000 tons / year.

polypropylene industry restructuring in Europe have already begun. Ineos is the closure of some are not able to compete polypropylene unit, while the other polypropylene plant upgrade. The company is based in France, the two sets of used slurry polypropylene plant technology will be closed, including a 165,000 tons / year polypropylene plant will cease production of the end of this year, another 50,000 tons / year of the device will be shutting down before the end of 2009. In addition, the company is located in Belgium, Ineos set of 130,000 tons / year polypropylene plant has been closed. In addition to the closure of installations, the company planned for the next 3 years to invest 150 million euros to upgrade some of polyolefins in Europe installations.

new projects in the Middle East become a global hot spot for

the current Middle East as the world’s new hot spot for polypropylene project. Saudi Arabia only the number of polypropylene producers from the current 4 to 11 of 2012, when Saudi Arabia’s polypropylene production capacity reached 6,000,000 tons. Saudi National Petrochemical Company (NatPet) plans to put into operation later this year at a set of Yanbu in Saudi Arabia 400,000 tons / year polypropylene unit. By Lyondell Basel Polyolefins Company (holding 25%) and Saudi Arabia, Sahara Petrochemical Company (holding 75%) joint venture Al-Waha Petrochemical Company, will be in the first quarter of 2009 and put into operation is located in Jubail Saudi Arabia Seoul of a 450,000 tons / year polypropylene unit. Saudi Kayan will be test run at 2009 Jubair a 350,000 tons / year polypropylene plant. Saudi Basic Industries Corp. a subsidiary of The Dow Chemical IbnZahr will use the patented technology in Saudi Arabia Jubair a new 500,000 tons / year polypropylene unit, is expected to completed and put into production later this year, when the company in the local poly propylene production capacity reached 1.14 million tons / year.

in the global market demand for printed

future growth momentum in China and India will continue to be a global polypropylene consumption growth. According to statistics, in 2007 China’s polypropylene imports grew 4 percent, reaching 3,000,000 tons, but in 2008 the import volume will be reduced based on last year’s 4 percent, because China’s domestic polypropylene substantial new capacity put into operation one after another. Experts said that China’s polypropylene hot investment will continue to, if all projects can be put into production by 2011 China’s polypropylene capacity should reach 12.2 million tons, by 2016 will reach 15.5 million tons.

another Asian country with a large population of India polypropylene consumption is growing rapidly in recent years, India’s economic emergence and rapid growth, people’s disposable income, rapid growth, which significantly boosted consumption growth. India is Asia’s largest automotive, appliance and packaging of various food markets in the world, in addition to India is trying hard to improve the infrastructure, all this has stimulated strong growth in consumption of PP. (08-9-27)

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