Expert analysis of China’s coal market, there are four factors that fall
China news agency, Beijing, September 27 (Reporter Liu Changzhong) - China Logistics Information Center revealed that the steady growth of coal production in China in August, the cumulative pattern of net exports will remain, the market price of coal there in April for the first time since the fall.
latest statistics show that China’s raw coal in circulation was up overall price index in August fell 2.7 percent last month.
expert analysis, the coal market prices off their highs, mainly due to four factors, first of all, the role of national macro-control policies initially appear. Development and Reform Commission issued this year, twice in a row limit of the control measures against the coal intervene in the coal market price, indeed had the desired effect. At the same time to ease pressure on domestic coal supplies, the State Council Customs Tariff Commission issued a circular to the export tariffs on some commodities to adjust; In addition, the introduction of soft coal and the other eight categories under the general trade export tariffs on export of aluminum alloy, a direct impact on the size of China’s coal exports continue to atrophy.
Secondly, the international market price of crude oil and natural gas prices fell sharply, and many public utilities in Europe have also reduced the amount of coal use, resulting in the international coal prices around the world have suffered different degrees of decline.
again, the summer peak period is coming to the past, the decline in coal demand, coal demand for heating in winter and is entering the peak of the off-season before the short-lived. The real estate development, heavy construction, and energy-intensive products exports, the main driving force driving demand for coal also have significantly decreased.
Finally, the recent economic slowdown in some areas by the South, coupled with the situation west to east this year over previous years and other factors, the South coal demand is not strong, the local stocks are relatively abundant. As of early September had reached record levels over the same period last year a full stock of coal has doubled.
experts say that despite the current coal supply remains tight in a state of equilibrium, but due to the over Dongchu coal demand, capacity is tight, coal production costs, high international market price support and other factors, coal prices will continue to to maintain a high level.
专家对中国的煤炭市场分析,有四个因素下降
中国新华社北京9月27日电(记者刘忠) -中国物流信息中心透露,在中国煤炭生产稳定增长,8月份的净出口格局将继续累积,四月份煤炭市场价格有秋季以来的首次。
最新统计显示,中国在流通原煤上涨价格总指数8月份比去年下降了2.7个。
专家分析,离高点的煤炭市场价格,主要是由于四个因素,首先,国家宏观调控作用的政策开始出现。发展和改革委员会发出的今年,在对煤炭干预煤炭市场价格的控制措施行限制了两次,确实取得了预期的效果。同时,以减轻国内煤炭供应压力,国务院关税税则委员会发出了对部分商品的出口关税调整通知,此外,采用软煤和其他八类下的一般贸易出口关税对铝合金,一对中国出口的煤炭,直接影响出口规模继续萎缩。
第二,原油和天然气价格的国际市场价格大幅下跌,以及欧洲的许多公共事业,也减少了煤炭的使用量,在世界各地的国际煤炭价格造成的,都出现了不同程度的下降。
再次,夏季高峰期即将过去,在煤炭需求,煤炭在冬季取暖油需求下降,是进入前的淡季高峰短命。房地产开发,重型建筑,能源密集产品出口的主要推动力量的推动也有显着减少煤炭需求。
最后,最近的经济放缓,南方一些地区,西部地区的情况比前几年和其他因素,加上今年东部,南方煤炭需求不强,当地库存比较充裕。截至9月初已达到较去年同期的煤全部库存创纪录的水平增加了一倍。
专家说,虽然目前煤炭供应仍然处于紧平衡状态,但由于冬初对煤炭的需求量,产能紧张,煤炭生产成本高的国际市场价格支持等因素,煤炭价格将继续为保持较高的水平。
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